✍🏾 Madalla Kadiri, Zaar Activist
- That the North has 12 Million Votes Bank.
- That this 12 million vote bank is from Northern Moslem.
“In every election since 2003, Buhari has always had a captive audience of 12 million Northerners, plus or minus one million. Buhari’s political foot soldiers in the core North are united behind him. What the opposition must do is to find a way to divide them.”
- That one million plus is the only vote bank of minorities Christian in the north.
- Christian in the North are Minority if Tinubu pick Christian as Vice he will not enjoy there vote bank and he can't win.
The picture, therefore, is given of a gigantic political monument, almost a prison, filled with “captives”, or a bank full of voters belonging to President Buhari who commands them on what to do on election day. In fact, as we await 2023, they are right now waiting to cast their vote for his candidate, whoever that may be.
Danfodio Factor
The foundation for a unified Hausaland was laid by Danfodio when he conquered the Hausa States and other areas that came into the orbit of the Sokoto Caliphate. Before him, historians are unanimous on the inability of the Hausa States to form a common front against external aggressors. The influence of Borno has been there for centuries. Mohammad Askia came from as far as Songhai to attack Hausaland in 1503, slaughter its kings, one after the other, and establish his suzerainty over it without any joint resistance. The Gobirawa, when expelled by Tuaregs from today’s Niger Republic sought and got refuge in the Kingdom of Zamfara, which they turned against and upon whose ruins they formed the powerful Gobir Kingdom until it was liquidated by the Jihad of Danfodio in 1803.
The Caliphate established by Danfodio knitted Hausaland, for the first time, and extended its influence down to Nupeland and Kwara in the South and Northern Cameroon in the East, of course with the exception of some small recalcitrant states like Kebbi. The Caliphate cut deep into the core of rival Borno Caliphate, pushing it back to areas immediate to Lake Chad basin. The Caliphate’s hegemony over this vast land lasted for exactly 100 years until the advent of the British rule, which, instead of destroying it as Danfodio did to Gobir, deployed it as a tool of indirect rule and added to it more areas of influence in the Middle Belt, the recalcitrant entities like Kebbi and even the collateral Borno Caliphate to some extent.
This is the foundation of the political unification of the North. Danfodio, largely through his astute administrator-warrior-scholar son, Bello, designed the format for the future political hard disk—and developed the operating system as well—of the vast land under his caliphate. The segments of that disk—the emirates and their districts subdivisions—were kept intact by the colonialists and they formed the basis of states and local governments boundaries entrenched in our 1979 and 1999 constitutions. No other hegemony could be bigger in Nigeria.
In fact, the size of that system has been at the center of bitterness in the south, among some communities in the Middle Belt and, until recently, Borno. It has also been a source of constant headache for progressive elements in the North until the last 30 years. It gave the foundation for the Northern Peoples Congress (NPC) that led the country after independence until 1966 and of the National Party of Nigeria in 1979. It is behind the unequal size of the three regions in the First Republic which was, according to constitutional lawyers like Professor Nwabueze, the most fundamental reason for its failure.
This hegemony of the north would continue to dominate Nigerian politics. Awo, Zik and opposition parties reasoned during the First Republic that unless it is broken the south will never make it to the centre, hence the 1966 coup and the disbandment of the Northern Region and creation of states in 1967. The 1966 coup turned out to be the biggest unifying post-independence factor among the Hausa-Fulani emirates. The gruesome murders of northern political and military leaders graphically expressed to northerners how they are viewed and hated by “the others”. It created a fear of an enemy ready to exterminate them. It has become a battle of survival and the natural strategy is to unite.
Despite the dismemberment, to the surprise of Awo and the rest, the Hausa-Fulani hegemony resurfaced in 1979 and grew stronger using incumbency so much so that the ruling NPN had to be toppled when it made serious incursions into the Southwest and enclaves like Plateau. President Babangida did a lot for national unity to reformat things by registering only SDP and NRC, forcing Nigerians to blend so much that Abiola, a Yoruba from the Southwest, could emerge as the undeclared winner of the 1993 elections. This would continue through the 1999 elections which saw Obasanjo emerge as President with the support of the Hausa-Fulani north.
For many years Northern Christian Political Scientists have not help matters, they have fail to conduct a statistical research to counter such fake postulation, analysis, research from the Northern Moslem Politicians, intelectuals, they have allow this lies to go on like that without any action.
My Advise to Northern Christian Political Scientists is that
It is a high time for them to team up and conduct a statistical research on this matter to know the actual truth, we can't continue like this or else we will continue to play a role of third class citizen in this country, there is a need for us to rise up and change the narrative by countering this fake political statistical analysis that Northern Moslem are using to brainwash the south.
I suggest Northern Christian Political Scientist to conduct a statistical research on this controversial issues in northern Nigeria to know the actual facts whether;
- It is true that Northern Moslem has 12 Million Votes bank in the North
- It is true that Northern Christian has only One Million Plus Vote Bank in North.
- It is true that our states, Local Government, Districts were created to favour Northern Moslem for political reason.
It is true if Southern Moslem pick Northern Christian as running mate is he going to fail or win the election?.
etc
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